Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. because red and blue state designations . Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Good evening from Philadelphia! Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Not one! The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: The key swing region is the. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Idaho. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Is Missouri a red state? [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. I think it's the state to watch. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. We may not know results in PA fordays. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Election results provided by the Associated Press. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Out of. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Thats a point that they made. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Dec. 10, 2020. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. More than a . Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. VOA explains. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district.
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